Images from theweatherboard.com
Look at these giant outlooks issued! Seems as Ark. will be getting some more severe weather. They have really gotten it tough so far this year. The Moderate area also shows from the edge of Tx all the way up to almost central IL. The potential is great for this forcast.
From the SPC:This kid of pattern gets us chasers fired up. Some selected dialog from the Storm Prediction Center:
The full discussion is here http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html
I am not sure if I will be out chasing on this as it seems as if the severe weather will be farther south, but depending on the next update and the wording within it, I might change my mind.
From the SPC:This kid of pattern gets us chasers fired up. Some selected dialog from the Storm Prediction Center:
***A SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
MID-MS VLY AND MID-SOUTH THU AFTN/EVE. TORNADOES...INCLUDING A FEW
LONG-TRACKED STRONG VARIETY...VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS CAN
BE EXPECTED.
A MULTI-MODE SVR DAY IS LIKELY ON THU IN AND NEAR THE
MDT RISK AREA. STRONG/SVR TSTMS WILL BE LIKELY ONGOING THU MORNING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CNTRL/ERN OK AND N TX NEWD INTO MO...KS AND AR.
DOWNSTREAM FROM THIS ACTIVITY...GULF MOISTURE WILL ADVECT NWD...AND
BY THU AFTN...60-65F SFC DEW POINTS WILL PROBABLY BE IN PLACE AS FAR
N AS SERN IA AND CNTRL PARTS OF IL/IN. AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS
AND EFFECTIVELY WEAKENS THE CINH...SFC-BASED QUASI-DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY TO EVOLVE...EITHER WITHIN/ NEARBY REMANENT
MORNING ACTIVITY...OR SEPARATELY ALONG/AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.
GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE SLY FLOW...RAPID DESTABILIZATION WILL
PROBABLY OCCUR WELL NWD INTO MO...IL AND IN. BUT...THE IMPACTS OF
EARLY DAY ACTIVITY REMAIN UNCERTAIN... ESPECIALLY WITH NWD EXTENT OF
THE OTLK AREA. NONETHELESS...VERY STRONG KINEMATICS/FLOW FIELDS
WILL LEAD TO A MARKED SVR RISK EVEN WHERE MODEST MLCAPE MATERIALIZES
IN WAKE OF THE WARM FRONT.
The full discussion is here http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html
I am not sure if I will be out chasing on this as it seems as if the severe weather will be farther south, but depending on the next update and the wording within it, I might change my mind.
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